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美国通货膨胀,CPI 年增率刷新40 年新高


美国近期公布9 月消费者物价指数(CPI) 年增率报8.2%,高于市场预期的8.1%,前值8.3%,而剔除食品与能源波动的核心CPI 年增率大幅升至6.6%,不但高于市场预期的6.5%、前值的6.3%,还刷新40 年新高。

截至2022年9月为止12个月的通胀率——即量度价格上涨指标——为8.2%,低于8月份的8.3%。

虽然数字稍有回落,但仍高于市场预测。

最新通胀率远高于央行的2%目标,这意味着联邦储备局有可能要继续提高利率,以图为价格飙升降温。

美国央行试图缓解有关问题的措施导致美元汇价与国际借贷成本上涨,使美国通胀率受到密切关注。

针对这份恶化的通膨报告,不相信通膨已根深蒂固。如果看到中期通膨预期上升到与2% 通膨目标不一致的水平,那么更高的通膨预期会反映在薪资和物价之中,但看不出这方面的迹象。

美国通胀水平高于他国,但也不必惊慌- 华尔街日报

纽约联准银行调查显示,美国消费者对未来一年通膨预期在2022 年6 月曾跃升至6.8% 的峰值,但仅几个月的时间就降至5.4%。

虽然最近的数据显示需要采取更多措施来抑制通膨,但仍相信美国可能在不导致失业率飙升的情况下降低通膨,理由之一就是,不认为美国处于根深蒂固的通膨中。

此外,美国财政部周五公布,截至9 月30 日的2022 年财政全年度联邦预算赤字较前一年下滑一半,从2021 年的2.8 兆美元降至2022 年的1.4 兆美元。

*内容整理来源于网络仅供参考


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